Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Ryan 54.9% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 94.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 91.6%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 51.5%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Tkachuk
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Tkachuk
Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Ryan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
1
Tkachuk
Ryan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tkachuk
Ryan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (183)
60.2% (387)
-14.8%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
28.6% (7)
+24.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
43.2% (118)
+56.8%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +56.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Tkachuk is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Tkachuk shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Ryan
Home
51.1% (233)
56.7% (254)
Away
49.0% (202)
55.0% (258)
By Period
Tkachuk
Ryan
P1
42.9%
56.9%
P2
52.2%
51.7%
P3
53.7%
59.2%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2022 | 3 | 17:02 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 3 | 03:00 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 07:38 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 10:02 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |