Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Tkachuk wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Haula 52.3% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 95.3%
Defensive zone
Haula 73.8%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 64.8%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Tkachuk
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Tkachuk
Haula
Last 10: Tkachuk 1-9 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
1
Tkachuk
Haula
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
0
9
Tkachuk
Haula
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
0
Tkachuk
Haula
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (1,560)
52.9% (7,683)
-3.9%
Power Play
51.4% (1,291)
57.5% (603)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
43.5% (791)
+1.5%
On power play, Haula has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,653).
Tkachuk shoots left. Haula is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,784).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Haula
Home
50.7% (1,428)
53.4% (4,478)
Away
49.5% (1,443)
51.3% (4,599)
By Period
Tkachuk
Haula
P1
49.4%
53.2%
P2
51.3%
51.4%
P3
49.3%
52.7%
OT
57.1%
43.5%
Final 5 min
46.9%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 06:26 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 17:49 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 08:19 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 18:19 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 12:24 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 12:20 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 05:14 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 12:56 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 14:48 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 18:19 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |