Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 51.0% vs Haula 52.3% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 85.7%
Defensive zone
Haula 87.0%
Neutral zone
Haula 56.4%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Tkachuk
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Tkachuk
Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
0
1
Tkachuk
Haula
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Haula
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (194)
52.9% (612)
-1.9%
Power Play
51.7% (151)
56.3% (32)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
48.0% (75)
+2.0%
On power play, Haula has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Tkachuk is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Tkachuk shoots left. Haula is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Haula
Home
50.0% (140)
54.2% (345)
Away
52.2% (207)
51.1% (374)
By Period
Tkachuk
Haula
P1
54.3%
55.8%
P2
50.0%
48.0%
P3
49.5%
54.1%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
51.3%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 06:26 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |