Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.6% vs Haula 53.8% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 72.3%
Defensive zone
Haula 95.4%
Neutral zone
Haula 74.4%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Tkachuk
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Tkachuk
Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
0
Tkachuk
Haula
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (421)
54.5% (881)
-7.0%
Power Play
50.3% (336)
68.4% (57)
-18.1%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
45.4% (119)
-32.9%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +32.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Tkachuk is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Tkachuk shoots left. Haula is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Haula
Home
49.9% (389)
55.4% (520)
Away
46.8% (376)
53.1% (537)
By Period
Tkachuk
Haula
P1
44.4%
56.5%
P2
51.8%
53.3%
P3
47.8%
53.8%
OT
57.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
48.4%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 12:56 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |