Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Tkachuk wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 52.1% vs Haula 54.3% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 88.3%
Defensive zone
Haula 84.5%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 61.9%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 84.5%
15.5%
84.5%
Tkachuk
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
8
(8 meetings)
0
8
Tkachuk
Haula
Last 8: Tkachuk 0-8 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
0
8
Tkachuk
Haula
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (192)
57.6% (684)
-9.7%
Power Play
57.8% (187)
46.0% (63)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
45.5% (145)
-45.5%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Tkachuk is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Tkachuk shoots left. Haula is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Haula
Home
56.0% (175)
56.3% (449)
Away
49.8% (205)
53.3% (443)
By Period
Tkachuk
Haula
P1
55.0%
58.4%
P2
51.9%
54.9%
P3
47.3%
52.0%
OT
77.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
52.6%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 17:49 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 08:19 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 18:19 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 12:24 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 12:20 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 05:14 | Defensive | Erik Haula |