Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 53.8% vs Compher 50.9% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 71.4%
Defensive zone
Compher 89.6%
Neutral zone
Compher 60.3%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 74.9%
25.1%
74.9%
Tkachuk
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Tkachuk
Compher
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
1
Tkachuk
Compher
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
0
1
Tkachuk
Compher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (89)
52.9% (582)
+6.7%
Power Play
50.9% (57)
38.5% (13)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
36.4% (66)
+63.6%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +63.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Tkachuk is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Tkachuk shoots left. Compher is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Compher
Home
52.9% (87)
52.2% (360)
Away
61.7% (60)
49.5% (301)
By Period
Tkachuk
Compher
P1
61.0%
55.4%
P2
59.5%
49.8%
P3
52.4%
48.5%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
56.5%
Compher
60.0%▲
49.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 07:18 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 07:12 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |