Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 56.0% vs Compher 51.8% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 57.3%
Defensive zone
Compher 92.7%
Neutral zone
Compher 69.8%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 77.5%
22.5%
77.5%
Tkachuk
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Tkachuk
Compher
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
1
Tkachuk
Compher
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
0
2
Tkachuk
Compher
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (139)
53.9% (757)
+2.9%
Power Play
60.6% (94)
54.8% (31)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
35.6% (90)
+64.4%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +64.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Tkachuk is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Tkachuk shoots left. Compher is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Compher
Home
50.4% (121)
52.4% (429)
Away
67.3% (113)
51.7% (449)
By Period
Tkachuk
Compher
P1
57.1%
56.0%
P2
60.0%
50.0%
P3
58.3%
50.6%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
58.5%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 06:54 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 07:18 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 07:12 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |