Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tkachuk wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 52.1% vs Compher 45.2% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 61.1%
Defensive zone
Compher 96.6%
Neutral zone
Compher 77.6%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 96.6%
3.4%
96.6%
Tkachuk
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Tkachuk
Compher
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
3
Tkachuk
Compher
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (192)
45.5% (782)
+2.4%
Power Play
57.8% (187)
44.2% (77)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
41.7% (180)
-41.7%
On penalty kill, Compher has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Tkachuk is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Tkachuk shoots left. Compher is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Compher
Home
56.0% (175)
44.0% (484)
Away
49.8% (205)
45.4% (555)
By Period
Tkachuk
Compher
P1
55.0%
46.2%
P2
51.9%
44.8%
P3
47.3%
44.2%
OT
77.8%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
52.6%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2023 | OT | 03:04 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 17:58 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 15:30 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |