Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 48.8%). Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Tkachuk wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.6% vs Compher 48.9% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Compher leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 91.0%
Defensive zone
Compher 91.2%
Neutral zone
Compher 51.9%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Tkachuk
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Tkachuk
Compher
Last 10: Tkachuk 5-5 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
5
0
Tkachuk
Compher
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
5
Tkachuk
Compher
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tkachuk
Compher
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (421)
49.3% (1,149)
-1.8%
Power Play
50.3% (336)
53.9% (204)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
43.6% (312)
-31.1%
On penalty kill, Compher has a +31.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Tkachuk is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Tkachuk shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Compher
Home
49.9% (389)
50.7% (872)
Away
46.8% (376)
46.8% (793)
By Period
Tkachuk
Compher
P1
44.4%
49.9%
P2
51.8%
47.9%
P3
47.8%
49.0%
OT
57.1%
46.9%
Final 5 min
44.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
48.4%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 12:45 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 04:06 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 12:03 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 05:44 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 10:35 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 01:54 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 04:35 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 19:11 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 14:52 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 14:34 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |