Scouting Report
Jaden Schwartz holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Schwartz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 52.1% vs Schwartz 54.4% (-4.5%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 69.3%
Defensive zone
Schwartz 63.7%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 53.5%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Tkachuk
Schwartz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Schwartz
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (192)
45.8% (59)
+2.1%
Power Play
57.8% (187)
64.4% (101)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
On power play, Schwartz has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schwartz shoots left. Tkachuk is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Tkachuk shoots left. Schwartz is 63.0% vs left-shot opponents (81).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Schwartz
Home
56.0% (175)
61.0% (82)
Away
49.8% (205)
53.2% (79)
By Period
Tkachuk
Schwartz
P1
55.0%
58.6%
P2
51.9%
46.8%
P3
47.3%
64.2%
OT
77.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
64.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
52.6%
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
57.1%