Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (58.5% vs 58.5%). Tkachuk wins 62.6% vs left-shot opponents — Schwartz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 56.0% vs Schwartz 52.9% (+0.0%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 71.3%
Defensive zone
Schwartz 70.9%
Neutral zone
Schwartz 51.5%
Result
Jaden Schwartz favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Tkachuk
Schwartz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Schwartz
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (139)
60.5% (38)
-3.7%
Power Play
60.6% (94)
53.3% (15)
+7.3%
On power play, Tkachuk has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schwartz shoots left. Tkachuk is 62.6% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Tkachuk shoots left. Schwartz is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (31).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Schwartz
Home
50.4% (121)
71.4% (21)
Away
67.3% (113)
50.0% (32)
By Period
Tkachuk
Schwartz
P1
57.1%
60.9%
P2
60.0%
69.2%
P3
58.3%
47.1%
Final 5 min
55.3%
76.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
58.5%
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
58.5%