Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Schwartz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 51.0% vs Schwartz 50.0% (+1.3%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 66.0%
Defensive zone
Schwartz 70.8%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 53.1%
Result
Jaden Schwartz favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Tkachuk
Schwartz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Schwartz
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (194)
46.2% (39)
+4.8%
Power Play
51.7% (151)
55.2% (29)
-3.5%
On even strength, Tkachuk has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schwartz shoots left. Tkachuk is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Tkachuk shoots left. Schwartz is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (39).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Schwartz
Home
50.0% (140)
55.9% (34)
Away
52.2% (207)
44.1% (34)
By Period
Tkachuk
Schwartz
P1
54.3%
52.9%
P2
50.0%
50.0%
P3
49.5%
47.6%
Final 5 min
51.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
51.3%
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%