Brady Tkachuk vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Pageau 55.0% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Tkachuk leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 81.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 96.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 68.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Tkachuk
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Tkachuk
Pageau
Last 10: Tkachuk 6-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
6
0
Tkachuk
Pageau
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
4
Tkachuk
Pageau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
0
Tkachuk
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (183)
55.8% (1,000)
-10.4%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
56.6% (182)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
51.2% (170)
+48.8%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +48.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Tkachuk is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Tkachuk shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Pageau
Home
51.1% (233)
57.1% (674)
Away
49.0% (202)
53.5% (678)
By Period
Tkachuk
Pageau
P1
42.9%
56.9%
P2
52.2%
54.5%
P3
53.7%
54.7%
OT
50.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
43.8%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 10:54 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 07:16 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 10:28 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 04:57 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 18:36 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 08:52 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 08:12 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |