Brady Tkachuk vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (95% H2H, 19 meetings). Tkachuk wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Pageau 54.8% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Tkachuk leads 21-16 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 87.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 81.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 73.6%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Tkachuk
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
16
(37 meetings)
21
16
Tkachuk
Pageau
Last 10: Tkachuk 5-5 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
18
1
Tkachuk
Pageau
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
13
Tkachuk
Pageau
14 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Tkachuk
Pageau
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (1,560)
55.7% (9,486)
-6.7%
Power Play
51.4% (1,291)
57.0% (1,002)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
49.6% (2,069)
-4.6%
On even strength, Pageau has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Tkachuk is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,218).
Tkachuk shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,837).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Pageau
Home
50.7% (1,428)
56.3% (6,214)
Away
49.5% (1,443)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
Tkachuk
Pageau
P1
49.4%
54.6%
P2
51.3%
56.3%
P3
49.3%
53.5%
OT
57.1%
54.4%
Final 5 min
46.9%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 03:12 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 11:48 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 06:41 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 18:11 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 12:34 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 19:22 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 16, 2024 | OT | 03:17 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 16, 2024 | OT | 03:05 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 18:44 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 15:26 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 17:01 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 13:38 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 03:59 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 16:47 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |