Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 52.1% vs Carter 60.1% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 82.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 95.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 59.1%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 82.0%
82.0%
18.0%
Tkachuk
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tkachuk
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (192)
65.6% (262)
-17.7%
Power Play
57.8% (187)
68.3% (63)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
50.5% (99)
-50.5%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +50.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Tkachuk is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Tkachuk shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Carter
Home
56.0% (175)
64.3% (207)
Away
49.8% (205)
60.8% (217)
By Period
Tkachuk
Carter
P1
55.0%
65.3%
P2
51.9%
60.1%
P3
47.3%
63.8%
OT
77.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
52.6%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 09:10 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |