Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 53.8% vs Tavares 57.8% (-2.2%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 64.9%
Defensive zone
Tavares 69.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 57.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Tkachuk
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (89)
59.0% (691)
+0.6%
Power Play
50.9% (57)
57.2% (173)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
63.6% (11)
+36.4%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +36.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Tkachuk is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (99).
Tkachuk shoots left. Tavares is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Tavares
Home
52.9% (87)
58.0% (500)
Away
61.7% (60)
59.7% (375)
By Period
Tkachuk
Tavares
P1
61.0%
59.5%
P2
59.5%
58.5%
P3
52.4%
58.2%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
56.5%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.7%