Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Tavares 59.8% (-10.5%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 77.6%
Defensive zone
Tavares 88.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 51.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Tkachuk
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (183)
60.9% (1,043)
-15.5%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
60.4% (278)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
47.6% (21)
+52.4%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +52.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Tkachuk is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Tkachuk shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Tavares
Home
51.1% (233)
63.5% (684)
Away
49.0% (202)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Tkachuk
Tavares
P1
42.9%
60.3%
P2
52.2%
60.4%
P3
53.7%
60.1%
OT
50.0%
92.3%
Final 5 min
43.8%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%