Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 52.1% vs Tavares 58.7% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 54.0%
Defensive zone
Tavares 92.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 57.6%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Tkachuk
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tkachuk
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (192)
59.2% (1,035)
-11.3%
Power Play
57.8% (187)
60.0% (310)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
42.9% (7)
-42.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Tkachuk is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Tkachuk shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Tavares
Home
56.0% (175)
57.5% (668)
Away
49.8% (205)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Tkachuk
Tavares
P1
55.0%
58.0%
P2
51.9%
60.1%
P3
47.3%
61.0%
OT
77.8%
27.8%
Final 5 min
49.0%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
52.6%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 06:31 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |