Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Staal 56.8% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 93.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 86.9%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 58.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Tkachuk
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Tkachuk
Staal
Last 9: Tkachuk 3-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
0
Tkachuk
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
4
Tkachuk
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Tkachuk
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (183)
58.9% (1,041)
-13.5%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
53.4% (73)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
49.1% (171)
+50.9%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +50.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Tkachuk is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Tkachuk shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Staal
Home
51.1% (233)
59.0% (578)
Away
49.0% (202)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Tkachuk
Staal
P1
42.9%
57.1%
P2
52.2%
60.9%
P3
53.7%
55.8%
OT
50.0%
20.8%
Final 5 min
43.8%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:40 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 12:01 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 27, 2022 | OT | 03:33 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 27, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 06:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 16:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |