Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 50.5%). Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Tkachuk wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Eller 50.5% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 92.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 83.5%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 50.6%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Tkachuk
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
13
(24 meetings)
11
13
Tkachuk
Eller
Last 10: Tkachuk 5-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
9
2
Tkachuk
Eller
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
8
Tkachuk
Eller
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
3
Tkachuk
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (1,560)
51.1% (10,296)
-2.1%
Power Play
51.4% (1,291)
52.8% (621)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
46.7% (1,751)
-1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,653).
Tkachuk shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Eller
Home
50.7% (1,428)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
49.5% (1,443)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Tkachuk
Eller
P1
49.4%
51.2%
P2
51.3%
50.1%
P3
49.3%
50.2%
OT
57.1%
56.7%
Final 5 min
46.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | OT | 03:35 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 3, 2025 | OT | 02:04 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 3, 2025 | OT | 01:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 05:20 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 19:07 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 18:14 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 16:05 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 02:42 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 10:52 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 03:33 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 12:24 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 00:09 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 01:13 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 06:08 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |