Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 62.6% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 56.0% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 59.2%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 74.7%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 61.3%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (139)
55.9% (835)
+0.9%
Power Play
60.6% (94)
61.8% (228)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (40)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Tkachuk is 62.6% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Tkachuk shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
Home
50.4% (121)
55.1% (508)
Away
67.3% (113)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
P1
57.1%
55.8%
P2
60.0%
55.7%
P3
58.3%
59.0%
OT
66.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
58.5%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 03:13 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |