Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.5% vs 56.1%). Tkachuk wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 53.8% vs Draisaitl 55.5% (+0.4%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 58.5%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 68.9%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 53.7%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (89)
54.3% (672)
+5.3%
Power Play
50.9% (57)
62.9% (186)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
54.3% (35)
+45.7%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +45.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Tkachuk is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (99).
Tkachuk shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
Home
52.9% (87)
54.4% (454)
Away
61.7% (60)
57.9% (439)
By Period
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
P1
61.0%
55.2%
P2
59.5%
54.8%
P3
52.4%
57.9%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
56.5%
Draisaitl
64.0%▲
54.0%
56.1%