Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 51.0% vs Draisaitl 54.0% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 69.0%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 70.3%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 53.8%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 70.3%
29.7%
70.3%
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (194)
53.7% (923)
-2.7%
Power Play
51.7% (151)
56.1% (244)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
58.6% (29)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Tkachuk is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Tkachuk shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
Home
50.0% (140)
55.2% (636)
Away
52.2% (207)
53.4% (560)
By Period
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
P1
54.3%
50.8%
P2
50.0%
56.6%
P3
49.5%
54.0%
OT
33.3%
67.9%
Final 5 min
51.1%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
51.3%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 19:06 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |