Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 52.1% vs Draisaitl 56.5% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 77.9%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 82.9%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 58.4%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 82.9%
17.1%
82.9%
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (192)
57.4% (1,010)
-9.5%
Power Play
57.8% (187)
56.2% (331)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
54.5% (110)
-54.5%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Tkachuk is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Tkachuk shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
Home
56.0% (175)
56.4% (734)
Away
49.8% (205)
57.5% (717)
By Period
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
P1
55.0%
55.6%
P2
51.9%
62.1%
P3
47.3%
52.4%
OT
77.8%
61.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
52.6%
Draisaitl
64.0%▲
54.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 18:42 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |