Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.6% vs Draisaitl 54.6% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 81.7%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 87.2%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 57.3%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
Last 8: Tkachuk 4-4 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
0
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
4
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (421)
52.4% (974)
-4.9%
Power Play
50.3% (336)
59.5% (373)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
61.0% (123)
-48.5%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +48.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Tkachuk is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Tkachuk shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
Home
49.9% (389)
54.5% (778)
Away
46.8% (376)
55.3% (692)
By Period
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
P1
44.4%
54.6%
P2
51.8%
56.1%
P3
47.8%
53.3%
OT
57.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.3%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
48.4%
Draisaitl
64.0%▲
54.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 17:37 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 17:16 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 17:07 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 11:30 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 09:25 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |