Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 52.1% vs Jankowski 50.2% (+2.3%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 77.9%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 85.7%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 53.4%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Tkachuk
Jankowski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (192)
49.3% (134)
-1.4%
Power Play
57.8% (187)
37.5% (8)
+20.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
61.9% (21)
-61.9%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +61.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Tkachuk is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Tkachuk shoots left. Jankowski is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Jankowski
Home
56.0% (175)
54.2% (72)
Away
49.8% (205)
47.3% (91)
By Period
Tkachuk
Jankowski
P1
55.0%
54.2%
P2
51.9%
42.4%
P3
47.3%
55.4%
Final 5 min
49.0%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
52.6%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.3%