Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.6% vs Jankowski 54.4% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 85.7%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 96.5%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 78.5%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Tkachuk
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Tkachuk
Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
0
Tkachuk
Jankowski
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Tkachuk
Jankowski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (421)
58.6% (273)
-11.1%
Power Play
50.3% (336)
66.7% (3)
-16.4%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
43.3% (67)
-30.8%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +30.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Tkachuk is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Tkachuk shoots left. Jankowski is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (193).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Jankowski
Home
49.9% (389)
54.7% (128)
Away
46.8% (376)
56.3% (215)
By Period
Tkachuk
Jankowski
P1
44.4%
54.5%
P2
51.8%
56.5%
P3
47.8%
56.2%
Final 5 min
44.3%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
48.4%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2023 | 3 | 13:09 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 2 | 11:43 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 16:15 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 15:31 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |