Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs McLeod 56.6% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 98.2%
Defensive zone
Tkachuk 50.7%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 76.2%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Tkachuk
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Tkachuk
McLeod
Last 9: Tkachuk 1-8 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
8
Tkachuk
McLeod
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (183)
58.3% (859)
-12.9%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
50.0% (28)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
53.0% (168)
+47.0%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +47.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Tkachuk is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Tkachuk shoots left. McLeod is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (778).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
McLeod
Home
51.1% (233)
55.3% (526)
Away
49.0% (202)
59.2% (529)
By Period
Tkachuk
McLeod
P1
42.9%
60.7%
P2
52.2%
55.9%
P3
53.7%
55.2%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.8%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 19:06 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 19:13 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 7, 2022 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 7, 2022 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 3 | 06:50 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 1 | 00:56 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |