Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Tkachuk wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.6% vs McLeod 59.6% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 97.0%
Defensive zone
McLeod 78.2%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 75.9%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Tkachuk
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Tkachuk
McLeod
Last 10: Tkachuk 4-6 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
4
1
Tkachuk
McLeod
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
7
Tkachuk
McLeod
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (421)
61.5% (792)
-14.0%
Power Play
50.3% (336)
65.2% (23)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
55.6% (153)
-43.1%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +43.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Tkachuk is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Tkachuk shoots left. McLeod is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (720).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
McLeod
Home
49.9% (389)
62.0% (460)
Away
46.8% (376)
59.4% (508)
By Period
Tkachuk
McLeod
P1
44.4%
61.5%
P2
51.8%
63.6%
P3
47.8%
56.2%
OT
57.1%
73.3%
Final 5 min
44.3%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
48.4%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 05:39 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 01:56 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 07:28 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 16:57 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 15:39 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 16:34 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 09:23 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 03:59 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 10:36 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 01:52 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |