Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.7%). Tkachuk wins 37.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 49.4% vs Zibanejad 49.7% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 75.7%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 81.2%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 52.4%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
Last 5: Tkachuk 3-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
0
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (106)
49.5% (1,211)
+5.2%
Power Play
35.7% (42)
52.8% (214)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
47.4% (247)
-47.4%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +47.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Tkachuk is 37.9% vs right-shot opponents (66).
Tkachuk shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
Home
50.0% (66)
52.8% (825)
Away
48.2% (83)
46.6% (848)
By Period
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
P1
53.2%
50.8%
P2
47.5%
46.5%
P3
46.3%
52.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
49.0%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2019 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 3, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 3, 2019 | 2 | 03:22 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 3, 2019 | 1 | 03:57 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 3, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |