Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). Tkachuk wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.6% vs Zibanejad 49.5% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Tkachuk leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 89.7%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 92.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 54.9%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
Last 10: Tkachuk 4-6 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
10
1
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
4
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (421)
50.1% (1,051)
-2.6%
Power Play
50.3% (336)
58.3% (120)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
41.9% (227)
-29.4%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +29.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Tkachuk is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Tkachuk shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
Home
49.9% (389)
49.0% (681)
Away
46.8% (376)
49.9% (717)
By Period
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
P1
44.4%
49.9%
P2
51.8%
47.6%
P3
47.8%
51.1%
OT
57.1%
48.3%
Final 5 min
44.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
48.4%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 08:07 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 06:00 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 3 | 12:42 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 3 | 09:51 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 3 | 09:34 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 3 | 03:24 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 12:04 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 00:10 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 1 | 14:57 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 1 | 01:20 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 2 | 14:29 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |