Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.3% vs 52.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 51.0% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 85.0%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 88.4%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 57.7%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (194)
52.9% (870)
-1.9%
Power Play
51.7% (151)
53.5% (43)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
46.2% (143)
+3.8%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Tkachuk is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Tkachuk shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
Home
50.0% (140)
55.1% (501)
Away
52.2% (207)
49.2% (555)
By Period
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
P1
54.3%
57.5%
P2
50.0%
50.7%
P3
49.5%
47.9%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.1%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
51.3%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 10:05 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 03:28 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 02:39 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 14:56 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |