Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 52.1% vs Zibanejad 49.3% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 90.4%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 84.2%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 67.8%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
0
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (192)
50.9% (913)
-3.0%
Power Play
57.8% (187)
59.0% (39)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
37.5% (160)
-37.5%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Tkachuk is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Tkachuk shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
Home
56.0% (175)
51.1% (536)
Away
49.8% (205)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
P1
55.0%
50.1%
P2
51.9%
47.3%
P3
47.3%
50.7%
OT
77.8%
45.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
52.6%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 04:05 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 08:03 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 13:21 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 07:42 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |