Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 51.0% vs Bjugstad 47.9% (+3.9%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 75.5%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 83.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 52.3%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Tkachuk
Bjugstad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (194)
46.7% (398)
+4.3%
Power Play
51.7% (151)
51.6% (31)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
62.5% (8)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Tkachuk is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Tkachuk shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Bjugstad
Home
50.0% (140)
47.3% (220)
Away
52.2% (207)
47.5% (217)
By Period
Tkachuk
Bjugstad
P1
54.3%
46.1%
P2
50.0%
46.3%
P3
49.5%
50.4%
Final 5 min
51.1%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
51.3%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%