Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 62.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 56.0% vs Hischier 54.9% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 79.4%
Defensive zone
Hischier 81.8%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 50.7%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Tkachuk
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Tkachuk
Hischier
Last 5: Tkachuk 3-2 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
0
Tkachuk
Hischier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
2
Tkachuk
Hischier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Hischier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (139)
55.0% (1,107)
+1.8%
Power Play
60.6% (94)
63.1% (252)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
43.6% (149)
+56.4%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +56.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Tkachuk is 62.6% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Tkachuk shoots left. Hischier is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (977).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Hischier
Home
50.4% (121)
56.5% (763)
Away
67.3% (113)
54.0% (745)
By Period
Tkachuk
Hischier
P1
57.1%
56.0%
P2
60.0%
57.6%
P3
58.3%
53.0%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
58.5%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 08:31 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 00:18 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 17:06 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:11 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 09:43 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |