Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Tkachuk wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Hischier 52.6% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Tkachuk leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 87.1%
Defensive zone
Hischier 91.0%
Neutral zone
Hischier 58.4%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Tkachuk
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
9
(21 meetings)
12
9
Tkachuk
Hischier
Last 10: Tkachuk 5-5 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
6
0
Tkachuk
Hischier
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
7
Tkachuk
Hischier
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
6
2
Tkachuk
Hischier
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (1,560)
51.5% (8,379)
-2.5%
Power Play
51.4% (1,291)
59.7% (1,736)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
49.4% (903)
-4.4%
On power play, Hischier has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,653).
Tkachuk shoots left. Hischier is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,048).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Hischier
Home
50.7% (1,428)
53.0% (5,449)
Away
49.5% (1,443)
52.2% (5,569)
By Period
Tkachuk
Hischier
P1
49.4%
52.9%
P2
51.3%
52.4%
P3
49.3%
52.6%
OT
57.1%
50.6%
Final 5 min
46.9%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 08:31 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 00:18 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 17:06 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:11 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 09:43 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:31 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:36 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:25 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 01:50 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 02:38 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 10, 2022 | OT | 01:23 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 19:20 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 2 | 12:22 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 18:27 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 1 | 08:23 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |