Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 51.0% vs Hischier 55.2% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 78.1%
Defensive zone
Hischier 90.0%
Neutral zone
Hischier 52.5%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Tkachuk
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Tkachuk
Hischier
Last 6: Tkachuk 3-3 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
0
Tkachuk
Hischier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
2
Tkachuk
Hischier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tkachuk
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (194)
55.8% (1,228)
-4.8%
Power Play
51.7% (151)
62.1% (282)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
47.6% (267)
+2.4%
On power play, Hischier has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Tkachuk is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Tkachuk shoots left. Hischier is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,187).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Hischier
Home
50.0% (140)
56.5% (867)
Away
52.2% (207)
54.6% (910)
By Period
Tkachuk
Hischier
P1
54.3%
57.9%
P2
50.0%
55.9%
P3
49.5%
52.7%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
51.3%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:31 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:36 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:25 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 01:50 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |