Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 52.1% vs Hischier 56.2% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 82.9%
Defensive zone
Hischier 80.6%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 62.9%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 80.6%
19.4%
80.6%
Tkachuk
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Tkachuk
Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
2
Tkachuk
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (192)
56.1% (1,018)
-8.2%
Power Play
57.8% (187)
59.9% (289)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
51.3% (80)
-51.3%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +51.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Tkachuk is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Tkachuk shoots left. Hischier is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Hischier
Home
56.0% (175)
56.5% (706)
Away
49.8% (205)
56.7% (681)
By Period
Tkachuk
Hischier
P1
55.0%
54.8%
P2
51.9%
57.8%
P3
47.3%
57.6%
OT
77.8%
14.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
52.6%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 02:38 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |