Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.6% vs Acciari 53.3% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 94.2%
Defensive zone
Acciari 89.3%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 56.7%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Tkachuk
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Tkachuk
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tkachuk
Acciari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
2
Tkachuk
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (421)
54.5% (532)
-7.0%
Power Play
50.3% (336)
62.5% (8)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
48.8% (86)
-36.3%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +36.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Tkachuk is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Tkachuk shoots left. Acciari is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Acciari
Home
49.9% (389)
56.2% (281)
Away
46.8% (376)
51.9% (345)
By Period
Tkachuk
Acciari
P1
44.4%
53.4%
P2
51.8%
57.1%
P3
47.8%
51.4%
OT
57.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
48.4%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 19:59 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 09:53 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 09:35 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 16:50 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |