Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 14 meetings). Tkachuk wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.0% vs Acciari 51.2% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Tkachuk leads 15-13 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 88.1%
Defensive zone
Acciari 71.3%
Neutral zone
Acciari 52.5%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Tkachuk
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
13
(28 meetings)
15
13
Tkachuk
Acciari
Last 10: Tkachuk 8-2 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
13
1
Tkachuk
Acciari
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
12
Tkachuk
Acciari
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
0
Tkachuk
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,574)
52.8% (3,304)
-3.9%
Power Play
51.4% (1,303)
48.3% (87)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
47.0% (1,073)
-2.0%
On even strength, Acciari has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Tkachuk is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,232).
Tkachuk shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,268).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Acciari
Home
50.7% (1,435)
51.9% (2,139)
Away
49.3% (1,462)
50.7% (2,325)
By Period
Tkachuk
Acciari
P1
49.4%
52.3%
P2
51.3%
51.5%
P3
49.1%
50.2%
OT
55.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.0%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | OT | 02:29 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 26, 2026 | OT | 00:25 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 15:28 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 03:58 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 16:18 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 08:40 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:18 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 15:28 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 13:07 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 04:12 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 02:41 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 02:34 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 14:31 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 08:04 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 18:07 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |