Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Strome 45.0% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 82.4%
Defensive zone
Strome 90.4%
Neutral zone
Strome 54.6%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Tkachuk
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Tkachuk
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Tkachuk
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tkachuk
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (183)
44.1% (749)
+1.3%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
46.2% (52)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
52.9% (17)
+47.1%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +47.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Tkachuk is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Tkachuk shoots left. Strome is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Strome
Home
51.1% (233)
45.1% (441)
Away
49.0% (202)
43.5% (377)
By Period
Tkachuk
Strome
P1
42.9%
42.9%
P2
52.2%
44.4%
P3
53.7%
45.8%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
50.1%
Strome
52.0%▲
46.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 15:22 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:43 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |