Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Tkachuk wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Strome 44.6% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 76.4%
Defensive zone
Strome 76.6%
Neutral zone
Strome 75.0%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Tkachuk
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Tkachuk
Strome
Last 10: Tkachuk 3-7 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
1
Tkachuk
Strome
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
7
Tkachuk
Strome
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Tkachuk
Strome
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (1,560)
44.1% (6,839)
+4.9%
Power Play
51.4% (1,291)
49.3% (854)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
41.5% (410)
+3.5%
On even strength, Tkachuk has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Tkachuk is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,218).
Tkachuk shoots left. Strome is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,726).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Strome
Home
50.7% (1,428)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
49.5% (1,443)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
Tkachuk
Strome
P1
49.4%
44.0%
P2
51.3%
45.3%
P3
49.3%
44.3%
OT
57.1%
46.3%
Final 5 min
46.9%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 14:40 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 19:29 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 11:15 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 07:16 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 15:22 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:43 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 2 | 13:40 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 1 | 16:31 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 1 | 00:21 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 3, 2019 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 3, 2019 | 3 | 01:29 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |