Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.6% vs Strome 44.4% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 82.6%
Defensive zone
Strome 88.9%
Neutral zone
Strome 62.9%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Tkachuk
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Tkachuk
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Tkachuk
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (421)
43.0% (788)
+4.5%
Power Play
50.3% (336)
47.9% (96)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
50.0% (34)
-37.5%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Tkachuk is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Tkachuk shoots left. Strome is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Strome
Home
49.9% (389)
42.6% (486)
Away
46.8% (376)
45.1% (432)
By Period
Tkachuk
Strome
P1
44.4%
41.0%
P2
51.8%
47.8%
P3
47.8%
42.1%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
48.4%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 19:29 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 11:15 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 07:16 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |