Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 52.1% vs Kuraly 48.4% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 87.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 93.1%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 53.5%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Tkachuk
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Tkachuk
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Tkachuk
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (192)
49.4% (445)
-1.5%
Power Play
57.8% (187)
100.0% (3)
-42.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
41.9% (117)
-41.9%
On power play, Kuraly has a +42.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Tkachuk is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Tkachuk shoots left. Kuraly is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Kuraly
Home
56.0% (175)
49.2% (248)
Away
49.8% (205)
47.3% (317)
By Period
Tkachuk
Kuraly
P1
55.0%
48.3%
P2
51.9%
44.7%
P3
47.3%
51.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
52.6%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2023 | 1 | 05:26 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 1 | 02:08 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |