Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 51.0% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-3.0%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 87.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 92.8%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 56.0%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Tkachuk
Kuraly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (194)
55.3% (515)
-4.3%
Power Play
51.7% (151)
55.6% (9)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
44.8% (58)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Tkachuk is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Tkachuk shoots left. Kuraly is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Kuraly
Home
50.0% (140)
57.3% (293)
Away
52.2% (207)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Tkachuk
Kuraly
P1
54.3%
53.8%
P2
50.0%
51.5%
P3
49.5%
57.6%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
51.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
54.3%