Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.6% vs Monahan 53.9% (-6.7%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 87.6%
Defensive zone
Monahan 83.4%
Neutral zone
Monahan 56.7%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Tkachuk
Monahan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (421)
54.5% (231)
-7.0%
Power Play
50.3% (336)
58.2% (67)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
52.2% (23)
-39.7%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +39.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Tkachuk is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Tkachuk shoots left. Monahan is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Monahan
Home
49.9% (389)
53.5% (144)
Away
46.8% (376)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Tkachuk
Monahan
P1
44.4%
52.5%
P2
51.8%
50.9%
P3
47.8%
60.8%
OT
57.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
48.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%