Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 12 meetings). Tkachuk wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Crosby 53.5% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 89.7%
Defensive zone
Crosby 69.0%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 68.0%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Tkachuk
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
14
(24 meetings)
10
14
Tkachuk
Crosby
Last 10: Tkachuk 2-8 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
6
2
Tkachuk
Crosby
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
12
Tkachuk
Crosby
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
4
0
Tkachuk
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (1,560)
52.8% (17,990)
-3.8%
Power Play
51.4% (1,291)
57.4% (4,733)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
47.1% (765)
-2.1%
On power play, Crosby has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,653).
Tkachuk shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Crosby
Home
50.7% (1,428)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
49.5% (1,443)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Tkachuk
Crosby
P1
49.4%
53.6%
P2
51.3%
53.9%
P3
49.3%
53.3%
OT
57.1%
49.6%
Final 5 min
46.9%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 07:34 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 00:08 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 07:09 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 1 | 03:41 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 3 | 11:36 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 3 | 07:46 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 3 | 03:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 2 | 11:22 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 1 | 11:57 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 1 | 00:49 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 05:27 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 09:35 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:10 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:44 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |