Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 51.0% vs Crosby 56.6% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 52.4%
Defensive zone
Crosby 89.5%
Neutral zone
Crosby 70.9%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 70.9%
29.1%
70.9%
Tkachuk
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tkachuk
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (194)
56.2% (1,451)
-5.2%
Power Play
51.7% (151)
61.4% (293)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
55.3% (38)
-5.3%
On power play, Crosby has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Tkachuk is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Tkachuk shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Crosby
Home
50.0% (140)
59.1% (939)
Away
52.2% (207)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Tkachuk
Crosby
P1
54.3%
54.9%
P2
50.0%
60.8%
P3
49.5%
55.4%
OT
33.3%
53.6%
Final 5 min
51.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
51.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 07:34 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |