Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Crosby 52.3% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 56.9%
Defensive zone
Crosby 94.0%
Neutral zone
Crosby 58.5%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Tkachuk
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Tkachuk
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
0
Tkachuk
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (183)
50.8% (1,169)
-5.4%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
60.2% (261)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
45.0% (20)
+55.0%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +55.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Tkachuk is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Tkachuk shoots left. Crosby is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (929).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Crosby
Home
51.1% (233)
53.2% (726)
Away
49.0% (202)
51.7% (724)
By Period
Tkachuk
Crosby
P1
42.9%
51.3%
P2
52.2%
52.1%
P3
53.7%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
43.8%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:44 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 16:33 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 12:57 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |