Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.6% vs Crosby 52.8% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 91.1%
Defensive zone
Tkachuk 61.3%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 77.7%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Tkachuk
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
13
(17 meetings)
4
13
Tkachuk
Crosby
Last 10: Tkachuk 1-9 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Tkachuk
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
11
Tkachuk
Crosby
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
0
Tkachuk
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (421)
52.5% (1,443)
-5.0%
Power Play
50.3% (336)
54.7% (369)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
55.9% (34)
-43.4%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +43.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Tkachuk is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Tkachuk shoots left. Crosby is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Crosby
Home
49.9% (389)
53.0% (931)
Away
46.8% (376)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Tkachuk
Crosby
P1
44.4%
50.3%
P2
51.8%
55.4%
P3
47.8%
53.3%
OT
57.1%
47.4%
Final 5 min
44.3%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
48.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 00:08 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 07:09 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 1 | 03:41 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 3 | 11:36 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 3 | 07:46 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 3 | 03:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 2 | 11:22 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 1 | 11:57 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 1 | 00:49 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 05:27 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 09:35 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:10 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |