Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 48.7% vs Pavelski 52.2% (-10.4%)
Offensive zone
Saad 51.5%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 63.9%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 58.1%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Saad
Pavelski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (16)
52.5% (570)
-8.7%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
54.5% (145)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
44.4% (36)
-44.4%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Saad is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Saad shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Saad
Pavelski
Home
50.0% (8)
55.0% (391)
Away
36.4% (11)
49.7% (360)
By Period
Saad
Pavelski
P1
25.0%
50.8%
P2
60.0%
55.0%
P3
20.0%
52.0%
Final 5 min
0.0%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
38.0%
42.1%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%